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Oct 14, 2026 | By Aderogba, M.A., Amao, J.O., Fanifosi, G.E., and Oyelade, J. O.

VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY AMONG RURAL HOUSEHOLDS IN NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN NIGERIA

This study examined determinants of poverty vulnerability among rural households in Nigeria's North-East and South-West zones using the General Household Survey, Wave 5. Poverty was measured with the Foster–Greer–Thorbecke indices. The poverty line was set at two-thirds of mean per capita consumption. Vulnerability was estimated as expected poverty with a three-stage Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) model. Households with a probability of 0.5 or more were classified as vulnerable. The determinants of vulnerability were analyzed with a fractional logit model, reported as average marginal effects. Overall poverty incidence was 79.7% (North-East 88.6%, South-West 49.8%). Overall vulnerability was 77.7%, 95.4% in the North-East, and 18.0% in the South-West. Vulnerability to poverty largely depends on the socio-economic and demographic features of the rural dwellers. Access to social protection, education and productive assets ranked highest among the coping strategies

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