JAEQM

This study analyzes the determinants of livestock Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Nigeria, focusing on how macroeconomic and climatic factors influence the subsector. Using annual data from 1980–2021 within the ARDL framework, the study tested for stationarity and cointegration among potential TFP covariates. Results showed mixed integration orders and no cointegration, implying the absence of long-run equilibrium. Analysis therefore emphasized short-run dynamics. Lagged TFP significantly influenced current productivity, indicating persistence. Government agricultural spending was insignificant, while lagged precipitation positively affected TFP and inflation had a mild negative impact. Findings suggest that short-run biological and climatic conditions shape livestock productivity more than policy or macroeconomic factors. Policies should strengthen feed and veterinary supply chains, promote climate-smart practices, and cushion producers from inflation shocks

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