JAEQM

Increasing exposure to economic shocks threatens rural livelihoods in Nigeria, where agriculture remains a major source of income and employment. This study examines the distributional impacts of economic shocks on poverty among farming households using data from the 2023/2024 Nigeria General Household Survey (GHS-Panel). A total of 4,692 farming households across six geopolitical zones were analyzed using descriptive statistics, binary logistic regression, and Propensity Score Matching. Results showed that 73% of households were poor. Agricultural shocks had the strongest effect, increasing the likelihood of poverty by 77.6%, followed by weather shocks (17.7%), while education significantly reduced poverty risk. Regional analysis revealed greater vulnerability in the South-South and North-East, with relative resilience in the North-Central and South-West. Strengthening agricultural resilience and region-specific policies is crucial for reducing poverty and improving household welfare.

Downloads: 0